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Archives (2001)
The livestock and poultry
industry: an overview
by Junelyn S. de la Rosa |
January-March
2001
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World
With the globalization phenomenon now almost a cliché,
the Asian crisis will have far more reaching repercussions
on the demand and supply for livestock and products in the
world market. If a severe crisis scenario unfolds, world meat
demand will be 8%t below the baseline trend (2% below in the
moderate scenario) and developing countries in Asia will be
hit the hardest. Philippine meat demand will decrease by almost
one-third. The biggest drop in livestock demand in developing
countries will be for pig meat (19%), followed by poultry
and beef, 13 and 8%, respectively.
Although the contraction in the demand for meat
in Asia could be large, its increasingly important role in
the global food market will not be threatened. Global meat
demand will still be dominated by developing countries. That
is, even in the severe scenario---the developing countries
will still account for 56% of the global meat demand. By 2020,
it is projected that the developing countries will produce
60% of the world meat and 52% of the world milk.
Local
USDA reported that livestock production in the Philippines
increased in 1999 due to the return of more normal weather
conditions and renewed meat demand resulting from a slight
improvement of the national economy. Cattle (inclusive of
water buffalos), swine and other segments of the livestock
subsector showed positive growth (BAS Reports 2000).
Changes in importation policies and procedures
will benefit local livestock production. However, cattle production
is expected to grow slower than its swine counterpart because
of the reduced cattle inventory and the inherent production
inefficiencies of the industry. For swine, local production
is likely to continue its strong and steady growth in 2000
and beyond. Substantial private sector investments will make
it relatively efficient.
Consumption of beef and pork are still expected
to increase from their previous levels as a result of the
rapidly increasing Philippine population. Increased human
consumption and processing demand will raise cattle slaughter,
decreasing the cattle population in the next two years. For
pork, the favourite meat of the average Filipino, demand is
likewise expected to accelerate until 2001 and the swine population
will continue to expand.
Consonantly, local poultry production grew modestly
(4%) in 1999 and was expected to grow last year but at a much
slower rate (USDA Reports 2000). Chicken population increase
in 2000 reached 118 million birds compared to the previous
year's 116 million birds (BAS Reports 2000). Native/improved
chicken types dominated the local chicken population at 71
million birds (60%) followed by broilers--- 30 million birds
(26%) and layers at 16 million birds (14%). However, poultry
production is likely to slow down this year as local production
is expected to face more competition from poultry meat imports.
(Sources: BAS 2000;USDA GAIN Report#RP0045)
More Articles:
Vol. 3 No. 1
January-March 2001
»»
P15M high impact projects approved for livestock and poultry RDE network
»» Montemayor
bans UK meat imports
»» LDPs of
the DA: an analysis
»» Renewed
role of orivate sector valuable in livestock R&D - study reveals
»» Botanicals
effective against ectoparasites
»» Trichantera:
cheaper feed substitute to soybean oil meal
»» ELISA effective
in FMD diagnosis
»» National
integrated RDE agenda and program for livestock and fisheries
»» Mad cow
disease: know the risks
»»
The livestock and poultry industry: an overview
»» Scientists
find twinning technology in dairy cattle successful
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2001 Articles]
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